H1Simulated H1Observed H2Simulated H2Observed

C1 45.92% 40% 28.57% 34%

C2 7.84% 12% 37.5% 30.7%

C3 46.24% 48% 33.93% 35.3%

So, how can i interprete this? I thought about calculating the difference between simulated and observed shares. But how do i interprete the differences? Is there a value for which it can be assumed that the model fits good? Or do you have any other ideas on how to test validity of the model?

Thanks in advance

EDIT: As i checked some literature, i found that it would be most useful to check hit rates for holdout tasks. how do i do that?

For Hit rates i used First Choice simulation method. What are good hit rates? i got 60% for both holdout tasks (for the other two models hitrates are 54.7% and 66.2% respectively).

Thanks again